Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 2.116636 2.437867 2.791236 3.208796 3.688791 4.223378 4.864130
2025-05-25 1.610465 2.015606 2.498984 3.118255 3.890904 4.823715 6.036555
2025-06-01 1.312847 1.765654 2.345221 3.141540 4.208091 5.588774 7.514955
2025-06-08 1.074383 1.540144 2.174606 3.102192 4.425198 6.247163 8.952917
2025-06-15 0.962054 1.460455 2.178425 3.288308 4.963295 7.401702 11.232046
2025-06-22 0.841345 1.345437 2.109414 3.351787 5.325376 8.347017 13.341850
2025-06-29 0.724795 1.215721 1.995191 3.323057 5.534032 9.079243 15.220206
2025-07-06 0.607256 1.064584 1.822661 3.170860 5.515563 9.439477 16.537253
2025-07-13 0.560459 1.023866 1.823483 3.303777 5.984838 10.654121 19.448238
2025-07-20 0.523601 0.994272 1.837620 3.458837 6.509216 12.024308 22.813054
2025-07-27 0.485006 0.955285 1.828480 3.567949 6.960849 13.316027 26.202015
2025-08-03 0.445559 0.908607 1.797945 3.630548 7.329498 14.494527 29.525934
2025-08-10 0.391145 0.826679 1.692800 3.540840 7.404631 15.152135 31.985568
2025-08-17 0.336053 0.735281 1.556419 3.368636 7.289006 15.417544 33.689254
2025-08-24 0.303032 0.685616 1.498587 3.352319 7.496965 16.373133 36.991843
2025-08-31 0.270117 0.631252 1.423192 3.286852 7.588634 17.093879 39.886279
2025-09-07 0.260084 0.627107 1.456799 3.469713 8.261225 19.173003 46.152950
2025-09-14 0.241941 0.601283 1.437866 3.528264 8.654673 20.675161 51.292072
2025-09-21 0.219729 0.562335 1.383024 3.493194 8.819678 21.667897 55.348576
2025-09-28 0.192657 0.507297 1.282144 3.330542 8.648089 21.832088 57.372409
2025-10-05 0.184969 0.500702 1.299403 3.468543 9.254807 23.988552 64.798522
2025-10-12 0.178870 0.497391 1.324469 3.630361 9.946375 26.451606 73.390829
2025-10-19 0.170795 0.487545 1.331227 3.744300 10.526548 28.703700 81.744381